Real Estate Sarasota & Manateee Counties | Think Suncoast Real EstateReal Estate Sarasota & Manateee Counties | Think Suncoast Real Estate

Julie Larson REALTOR®  941-284-9826

Mary Lou Hetman REALTOR®  941-320-1575

  • Menu
  • My Account
  • Sellers
  • Buyers
    • My Account
    • Advanced Search
    • Search by Address
    • Search by MLS ID
  • About
    • Julie Larson REALTOR
    • Mary Lou Hetman REALTOR
  • Reviews
  • Blog
  • Resources
    • Home Valuation Request
    • Home Inspectors
    • Homeowners Insurance Agents
    • Helpful Real Estate Links
    • Lease to Purchase a Home

There is NOT a Wave of Foreclosures on the Way

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way

Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | MyKCM

With forbearance plans coming to an end, many are concerned the housing market will experience a wave of foreclosures similar to what happened after the housing bubble 15 years ago. Here are a few reasons why that won’t happen.

There are fewer homeowners in trouble this time

After the last housing crash, about 9.3 million households lost their homes to a foreclosure, short sale, or because they simply gave it back to the bank.

As stay-at-home orders were issued early last year, the fear was the pandemic would impact the housing industry in a similar way. Many projected up to 30% of all mortgage holders would enter the forbearance program. In reality, only 8.5% actually did, and that number is now down to 2.2%.

As of last Friday, the total number of mortgages still in forbearance stood at  1,221,000. That’s far fewer than the 9.3 million households that lost their homes just over a decade ago.

Most of the mortgages in forbearance have enough equity to sell their homes

Due to rapidly rising home prices over the last two years, of the 1.22 million homeowners currently in forbearance, 93% have at least 10% equity in their homes. This 10% equity is important because it enables homeowners to sell their homes and pay the related expenses instead of facing the hit on their credit that a foreclosure or short sale would create.

The remaining 7% might not have the option to sell, but if the entire 7% of those 1.22 million homes went into foreclosure, that would total about 85,400 mortgages. To give that number context, here are the annual foreclosure numbers for the three years leading up to the pandemic:

  • 2017: 314,220
  • 2018: 279,040
  • 2019: 277,520

The probable number of foreclosures coming out of the forbearance program is nowhere near the number of foreclosures that impacted the housing crash 15 years ago. It’s actually less than one-third of any of the three years prior to the pandemic.

The current market can absorb listings coming to the market

When foreclosures hit the market back in 2008, there was an oversupply of houses for sale. It’s exactly the opposite today. In 2008, there was over a nine-month supply of listings on the market. Today, that number is less than a three-month supply. Here’s a graph showing the difference between the two markets.Why a Wave of Foreclosures Is Not on the Way | MyKCM

Bottom Line

The data indicates why Ivy Zelman, founder of the major housing market analytical firm Zelman and Associates, was on point when she stated:

“The likelihood of us having a foreclosure crisis again is about zero percent.”

Thinking of Buying or Selling? Call Julie Larson Realtor® 941-284-9826

facebookShare on Facebook
TwitterTweet
FollowFollow us

Posted in: Real Estate

About Julie Larson, Realtor with White Sands Property Group FL

Julie loves the Sarasota's Suncoast area and gets a lot of joy out of matching up home buyers with home sellers and creating a win-win situation for all involved.

ThinkSuncoast.com is your one-stop real estate resource for Sarasota and the surrounding areas.

Your questions and comments are always welcome! Call or text 941-284-9826, email Julie@ThinkSuncoast.com or by using the form on our Contact page!

Post navigation

« Don’t Let the Mortgage Process Scare You
Happy New Year 2022 »

Contact Julie Larson

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Julie Larson, Realtor®
941-284-9826
Julie@ThinkSuncoast.com

Julie Anne Larson LLC

Recent Posts

  • Homeownershiip is the Winner
  • Think Again if You Think Home Prices Are Going to Fall
  • It’s Still a Good Time to Sell Your House
  • The Housing Market is Shifting
  • Recession Does Not Equal Housing Crisis
  • Memorial Day 2022
  • The Future of Home Appreciation and What it Means for You
  • Where are Mortgage Rates Headed in 2022

“LIKE” Us on Facebook!

White Sands Realty Group Florida
1990 Main Street Suite 750
Sarasota, Florida 34236
Disclaimer - All listing information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed and should be independently verified through personal inspection by appropriate professionals. Listings displayed on this website may be subject to prior sale or removal from sale; availability of any listing should always be independently verified.

©2020 My Florida Regional MLS. All rights reserved. | Privacy Policy | Sitemap | XML Sitemap

Log in