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Mary Lou Hetman REALTOR®  941-320-1575

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Think Again if You Think Home Prices Are Going to Fall

Think Home Prices Are Going To Fall? Think Again

Think Home Prices Are Going To Fall? Think Again | MyKCM

Over the last two years, the rate of home prices appreciated at a dramatic pace. While that led to incredible equity gains for homeowners, it’s also caused some buyers to wonder if home prices will fall. It’s important to know the housing market isn’t a bubble about to burst, and home price growth is supported by strong market fundamentals.

To understand why price declines are unlikely, it’s important to explore what caused home prices to rise so much recently, and where experts say home prices are headed. Here’s what you need to know.

Home Prices Rose Significantly in Recent Years

The graph below uses the latest data from CoreLogic to illustrate the rise in home prices over the past year and a half. The gray bars represent the dramatic increase in the rate of home price appreciation in 2021. The blue bars show home prices are still rising in 2022, but not as quickly:

Think Home Prices Are Going To Fall? Think Again | MyKCM

You might be asking: why did home prices climb so much last year? It’s because there were more buyers than there were homes for sale. That imbalance put upward pressure on home prices because demand was extremely high, and supply was record low.

Where Experts Say Prices Will Go from Here

While housing inventory is increasing and buyer demand is softening today, there’s still a shortage of homes available for sale. That’s why the market is seeing ongoing price appreciation. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, explains it like this:

“. . .we’re still well below normal levels of inventory and that’s why even with the pullback in demand, we still see house prices appreciating. While there is more inventory, it’s still not enough.”

As a result, experts are projecting a more moderate rate of home price appreciation this year, which means home prices will continue rising, but at a slower pace. That doesn’t mean prices are going to fall. As Selma Hepp, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogic, says:

“The current home price growth rate is unsustainable, and higher mortgage rates coupled with more inventory will lead to slower home price growth but unlikely declines in home prices.”

In other words, even with higher mortgage rates, moderating buyer demand, and more homes for sale, experts say home price appreciation will slow, but prices won’t decline.

If you’re planning to buy a home, that means you shouldn’t wait for home prices to drop to make your purchase. Instead, buying today means you can get ahead of future price increases, and benefit from the rise in prices in the form of home equity.

Bottom Line

Home prices skyrocketed in recent years because there was more demand than supply. As the market shifts, experts aren’t forecasting a drop in prices, just a slowdown in the rate of price growth. To understand what’s happening with home prices in our area, let’s connect today.

Thinking of Buying or Selling? Call Julie Larson Realtor® 941-284-9826

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Posted in: Real Estate

About Julie Larson, Realtor with White Sands Property Group FL

Julie loves the Sarasota's Suncoast area and gets a lot of joy out of matching up home buyers with home sellers and creating a win-win situation for all involved.

ThinkSuncoast.com is your one-stop real estate resource for Sarasota and the surrounding areas.

Your questions and comments are always welcome! Call or text 941-284-9826, email Julie@ThinkSuncoast.com or by using the form on our Contact page!

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Contact Julie Larson

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Julie Larson, Realtor®
941-284-9826
Julie@ThinkSuncoast.com

Julie Anne Larson LLC

Recent Posts

  • Homeownershiip is the Winner
  • Think Again if You Think Home Prices Are Going to Fall
  • It’s Still a Good Time to Sell Your House
  • The Housing Market is Shifting
  • Recession Does Not Equal Housing Crisis
  • Memorial Day 2022
  • The Future of Home Appreciation and What it Means for You
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White Sands Realty Group Florida
1990 Main Street Suite 750
Sarasota, Florida 34236
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